EUR/USD: Short squeeze? – OCBC

The Euro (EUR) held up above 1.08-handle overnight albeit still near 2-month lows. EUR was last seen at 1.0841, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

RSI is rising from near oversold conditions

“Quite a bit of negativity is in the price of EUR following recent dovish rhetoric out of ECB, softer growth/ economic momentum, USD strength and the fear of Trump win and the threat of that 10-20% tariff. But with much negativity in the price, we do caution for the risk of rebound if EU data this week surprise to the upside. 3Q GDP will be one to watch later today and CPI estimate will be key on Thu.”

“Momentum remains bearish though there are signs of it fading while RSI is rising from near oversold conditions. Resistance at 1.0830 (61.8% fibo retracement of 2024 low to high), 1.0870 (200 DMA), 1.0910/30 levels (21, 100 DMAs). Support at 1.0780, 1.0740 (76.4% fibo).